Global Macro Milestones Q2 2025
financeWill the S&P 500 close above 6,000?52%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at least twice?50%
Will Bitcoin close above $100k?50%
Will gold trade above $3,000 per oz?50%
$ 6 Vol.Aug 6, 2026
Chance
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000?
$ 6 Vol.
Will the S&P 500 close above 6,000?
$ 6 Vol.
52%
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at least twice?
$ 0 Vol.
Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at least twice?
$ 0 Vol.
50%
Will Bitcoin close above $100k?
$ 0 Vol.
Will Bitcoin close above $100k?
$ 0 Vol.
50%
Will gold trade above $3,000 per oz?
$ 0 Vol.
Will gold trade above $3,000 per oz?
$ 0 Vol.
50%
Resolution Timeline
Outcome Proposal
Pending
Dispute Period
Pending
Final Resolution
Pending
Independent YES/NO markets on major macroeconomic events in Q2 2025. Each resolves independently.
Resolution Criteria
Each sub-question resolves independently based on the stated criteria.
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